Presidential Predictions 2024 Professor Morgan. Allan lichtman, the historian who correctly predicted the outcome of 9 out of the 10 previous us elections failed to predict the us 2024 presidential election correctly. Emory university professor emeritus alan abramowitz talked about his 'time for change' election forecasting model and what results it has predicted for the 2024 presidential election.

The predictions are a democratic margin of 2.6 percentage points in the national popular vote and 281 electoral votes, only 11 more than the minimum of 270 needed to win an. Historian allan lichtman has accurately predicted the outcome of 9 out of the last 10 presidential elections, and he’s done it without the use of.